How do jet contrails affect the weather?

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Looking up into the sky, you’ll often see lines of white contrails painted against the blue. Sometimes it’s a mesh, sometimes it’s remarkably parallel, reminding you that there really are highways in the sky. Rarely does a day go by that we don’t see the cloudlike atmospheric footprint of travel in the jet age.

Ever wonder what those jets’ contrails actually do to the atmosphere, and how they affect the weather 35,000 feet below?

For an answer, we turn to to Chicago weatherman extraordinaire, Tom Skilling. For those who don’t know Tom Skilling’s weather reports, they are an exercise in most excellent geekdom. His 9:30 forecasts on WGN go on for far longer, and in far greater scientific detail, than any other local weather forecaster or Weather Channel report I’ve ever seen. We may no longer live in Chicago, but my weather-nerd wife can’t let go of Tom Skilling. His blog remains her daily read. If only his brother, Enron’s disgraced CEO Jeff Skilling, could have followed Tom’s footsteps. At least the older brother made good.

Tom offers this on the contrails question:

The grounding of all U.S. and Canadian commercial air traffic for three days following the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks constituted a gigantic unplanned experiment, one result of which was a demonstration that high-altitude contrails affect weather at the ground. Contrails, the long, narrow, wispy ice-crystal clouds that form behind high-flying jet aircraft, result from the condensation of water vapor in jet exhaust. It was learned that contrails lower daytime and raise nighttime temperatures slightly in high-traffic jet corridors. Lacking those clouds for a few days after Sept. 11, the spread between daily high and low temperatures increased by about 2 degrees Fahrenheit.

Thanks, Kim!

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5 Responses to “How do jet contrails affect the weather?”

  1. Ben says:

    NOVA ran a great show in late 2007 on this very topic:

    http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/sun/

    http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/sun/contrail.html

  2. Cranky Flier says:

    Even though I only lived in Chicago for a year, I became an instant Skilling junkie as well. I read his blog every day, and I would highly recommend it to anyone interested in the weather. It’s not just about Chicagoland either - he’ll touch on any big weather story.

  3. Julia Rosien says:

    This is a fascinating post. I often think of the weight of my carbon footprint in terms of the fuel used when I travel. I hadn’t considered this issue before.

    Thanks for the link to Skilling’s blog.

  4. nzm says:

    Agree with Skilling.

    I was in LA at the time of 9/11, staying with a friend whose apartment was not far from LAX, with a good view of the planes taking off toward the ocean.

    The “marine layer” which is attributed to the unique climate conditions of that area, mysteriously disappeared while there was no activity out of LAX, and we experienced the warmest and clearest weather over those 3-4 days.

  5. Josh says:

    Is 3 days of zero jet traffic really enough time to determine whether or not contrails have such an effect on weather?

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